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   What is the Analyst Revisions (StarMine Indicator) model?
 
   The Analyst Revisions (StarMine Indicator) model is a percentile (1-100) ranking of stocks based on changes in analyst sentiment, with 100 representing the highest rank.

The Analyst Revisions (StarMine Indicator) model is highly predictive of relative price movement and is effective across stocks in each capitalization category, investment style, and market sector.

Although the Analyst Revisions (StarMine Indicator) is a proprietary model, you can observe the key drivers on a stock by looking at individual components:
  • Predicted Surprises. A predicted surprise is the difference between StarMine's SmartEstimate and the mean estimate. The Predicted Surprises component represents a blend of a stock's predicted surprises for the current quarter and the forward 12-month period, which considers the current fiscal year and the following fiscal year.
  • Consensus Changes. The Mean Changes component includes a blend of recent changes in a stock's current quarter mean earnings estimate and recent changes in the stock's forward 12-month period mean estimate.
  • Recommendation Changes. The Rec. Changes component represents a blend of recent changes to the average buy/sell/hold recommendation on a stock.
  • Management guidance (in the form of pre-announcements) is also a component in the calculation of a stock's Analyst Revisions (StarMine Indicator) score.
The Ranking boxes on a security's Ticker page display how the stock compares on each measure to all other stocks in the universe. The left-most box indicates that a stock is in the lowest 10 percent of stocks; the second box indicates a stock is in the 11-30th percentiles; the middle box corresponds to the middle 40 percentiles; the fourth box indicates a stock is in the 71-90th percentiles; the right-most box indicates that a stock is in the top 10 percent of stocks.

See also:
What is a SmartEstimate?


See glossary for: Predicted Surprise


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