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   What is the Supplemental Revisions model?
 
   The Supplemental Revisions model ("SRM") is a percentile (1-100) ranking of stocks based on analyst changes in the "supplemental" income statement items of Revenue, EBITDA, and Cash Flow. A score of 100 represents the highest rank.

The SRM is proprietary, but you can observe the key drivers for a particular security by looking at the model's components:
  • Revenue. The Revenue component of the SRM utilizes the security's Predicted Surprises of revenue for the F12M and FQ1 periods. It also incorporates changes in the mean revenue estimate for the F12M and FQ1 periods over the trailing 7, 30, 60, and 90-day periods. The "F12M" period is a blend of the current fiscal year and the following fiscal year. The Revenue component also includes management guidance (in the form of pre-announcements) where appropriate.
  • EBITDA. The EBITDA component of the SRM utilizes the security's Predicted Surprises of EBITDA for the F12M and FQ1 periods. It also incorporates changes in the mean EBITDA estimate for the F12M and FQ1 periods over the trailing 7, 30, 60, and 90-day periods. The "F12M" period is a blend of the current fiscal year and the following fiscal year.
  • Cash Flow. The Cash Flow component of the SRM utilizes the security's Predicted Surprises of cash flow per share for the F12M and FQ1 periods. It also incorporates changes in the mean cash flow per share estimate for the F12M and FQ1 periods over the trailing 7, 30, 60, and 90-day periods. The "F12M" period is a blend of the current fiscal year and the following fiscal year.
The Ranking boxes indicate how the security compares to other stocks in its geographic region based on each of the model's components. The left-most box indicates that a stock is in the lowest 10 percent of stocks; the second box indicates a stock is in the 11-30th percentiles; the middle box corresponds to the middle 40 percentiles; the fourth box indicates a stock is in the 71-90th percentiles; the right-most box indicates that a stock is in the top 10 percent of stocks.

See also:
What is a SmartEstimate?


See glossary for: Predicted Surprise


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